FA-74414 / Experiment statistics / Member archive
Relative lift interval: Control noise is scaled like treatment noise · case 04
Intervals are too narrow whenever the lift is large.
Case contract
lift = mean_t / mean_c - 1. With variances of the means v_t = var_t/n_t and v_c = var_c/n_c, the delta-method variance is v_t/mean_c^2 + mean_t^2 v_c / mean_c^4 and the interval is lift +/- z * sqrt(variance). mean_c = 0 or nonpositive n -> None. Return [lift, low, high] rounded to 6 places.
Why this case matters
Online experiment readouts drive launch decisions; a silent formula slip flips conclusions.
One recorded failure
Sample boundary fixtureThis sample comes from the broken implementation of a controlled reproducer.
| Boundary fixture | Actual | Expected | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| ten percent lift | [0.1, 0.072281, 0.127719] | [0.1, 0.070863, 0.129137] | Failed |
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