FA-71461 / Seismic magnitude estimation / Open access
Prague surface-wave magnitude: shallow depth limit · case 01
Events at exactly 60 km receive an Ms.
ROOT CAUSE
The depth cutoff admits 60 km.
VERIFIED REPAIR
Reject events with depth >= 60 km.
Unsuccessful approach: Moving the cutoff to 70 km admits intermediate-depth events.
Case contract
readings are [amplitude um, period s, distance deg]. Events with depth >= 60 km return None. Use only readings with 18 <= T <= 22, 20 <= delta <= 160 and positive amplitude; Ms_i = log10(A/T) + 1.66 log10(delta) + 3.3; return [mean rounded 0.01, count] or None.
Why this case matters
Ms remains the reference shallow-event magnitude in historical catalogues.
1 / The failure
Exit 1"""Failure Map reference implementation. Python standard library only."""
import json
import math
N = 1
observations = []
def solve(readings, depth_km):
if depth_km > 60:
return None
vals = []
for a, t, d in readings:
if 18 <= t <= 22 and 20 <= d <= 160 and a > 0:
vals.append(math.log10(a / t) + 1.66 * math.log10(d) + 3.3)
if not vals:
return None
return [round(sum(vals) / len(vals), 2), len(vals)]
def check(label, actual, expected):
observations.append({"check": label, "actual": actual, "expected": expected, "passed": actual == expected})
fixtures = [[['Ms event 0', [[[5.0, 20, 10], [300.0, 15, 45], [40.0, 15, 160]], 60], None], ['Ms event 1', [[[40.0, 18, 170], [0, 15, 45], [40.0, 15, 90], [5.0, 15, 160]], 33], None], ['Ms event 2', [[[0, 22, 160], [40.0, 20, 160], [300.0, 17, 170], [0, 22, 90]], 10], [7.26, 1]], ['Ms event 3', [[[5.0, 22, 160], [5.0, 23, 10], [0, 23, 20]], 33], [6.32, 1]], ['Ms event 4', [[[5.0, 22, 10], [40.0, 23, 45], [5.0, 15, 45], [40.0, 18, 170]], 33], None], ['Ms event 5', [[[40.0, 20, 45], [40.0, 20, 160]], 61], None], ['Ms event 6', [[[300.0, 15, 20], [5.0, 20, 160], [0.8, 18, 45], [40.0, 20, 45]], 61], None], ['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None]], [['Ms event 7', [[[0.8, 23, 160], [40.0, 18, 45], [40.0, 20, 170], [0, 18, 170], [40.0, 18, 160]], 59], [6.85, 2]], ['Ms event 8', [[[300.0, 17, 170], [0.8, 23, 170], [0.8, 15, 90], [0.8, 18, 160]], 33], [5.61, 1]], ['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None], ['Ms event 10', [[[300.0, 23, 160], [5.0, 15, 160]], 61], None], ['Ms event 11', [[[5.0, 18, 10], [40.0, 15, 20]], 60], None], ['Ms event 12', [[[300.0, 22, 45], [0.8, 22, 170], [0.8, 15, 170], [40.0, 23, 170], [5.0, 22, 10]], 60], None], ['Ms event 13', [[[40.0, 17, 170], [300.0, 18, 45], [5.0, 22, 160], [5.0, 18, 20], [0.8, 20, 20]], 59], [5.64, 4]], ['Ms event 30', [[[0.8, 17, 10], [40.0, 20, 90], [0.8, 17, 45]], 61], None]], [['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None], ['Ms event 14', [[[0, 20, 160], [40.0, 17, 10], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 20, 170]], 10], None], ['Ms event 15', [[[5.0, 20, 170], [0.8, 18, 90], [0, 15, 90], [300.0, 15, 20]], 33], [5.19, 1]], ['Ms event 16', [[[0.8, 23, 10], [0, 15, 90]], 59], None], ['Ms event 17', [[[5.0, 18, 10], [0.8, 22, 90], [0, 17, 160], [0.8, 17, 45], [0, 22, 20]], 61], None], ['Ms event 18', [[[40.0, 22, 170], [5.0, 22, 160], [5.0, 20, 90]], 33], [6.13, 2]], ['Ms event 19', [[[5.0, 20, 10], [40.0, 15, 45], [5.0, 18, 90], [0.8, 15, 90]], 70], None], ['Ms event 20', [[[0.8, 22, 20], [40.0, 15, 170]], 70], None]], [['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None], ['Ms event 21', [[[40.0, 17, 20], [5.0, 17, 90], [0.8, 20, 170], [300.0, 23, 170], [0, 15, 90]], 33], None], ['Ms event 22', [[[5.0, 18, 20], [5.0, 15, 160], [0.8, 17, 90], [0, 15, 160]], 33], [4.9, 1]], ['Ms event 23', [[[40.0, 18, 10], [40.0, 22, 20], [0.8, 18, 170], [5.0, 17, 10]], 59], [5.72, 1]], ['Ms event 24', [[[40.0, 20, 45], [0.8, 18, 20], [5.0, 17, 20], [300.0, 18, 170]], 70], None], ['Ms event 25', [[[0.8, 18, 20], [40.0, 20, 20], [0, 20, 160], [40.0, 15, 160], [40.0, 17, 170]], 60], None], ['Ms event 26', [[[0, 15, 170], [0.8, 17, 90], [300.0, 17, 90], [300.0, 22, 10]], 70], None], ['Ms event 34', [[[0, 15, 90], [0.8, 20, 45], [0.8, 23, 160], [5.0, 20, 160]], 61], None]], [['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None], ['Ms event 12', [[[300.0, 22, 45], [0.8, 22, 170], [0.8, 15, 170], [40.0, 23, 170], [5.0, 22, 10]], 60], None], ['Ms event 28', [[[300.0, 20, 45], [40.0, 22, 170]], 10], [7.22, 1]], ['Ms event 29', [[[40.0, 17, 160], [40.0, 22, 170], [0, 20, 45], [0, 20, 170]], 61], None], ['Ms event 30', [[[0.8, 17, 10], [40.0, 20, 90], [0.8, 17, 45]], 61], None], ['Ms event 31', [[[300.0, 20, 90], [0.8, 22, 45], [40.0, 22, 45], [40.0, 18, 170], [300.0, 22, 170]], 10], [6.21, 3]], ['Ms event 32', [[[40.0, 17, 90]], 10], None], ['Ms event 33', [[[5.0, 23, 10], [0.8, 23, 90], [5.0, 23, 160], [0, 22, 160]], 61], None]]]
for label, args, expected in fixtures[N - 1]:
check(label, solve(*args), expected)
print(json.dumps({"observations": observations, "passed": all(x["passed"] for x in observations)}, ensure_ascii=False))
raise SystemExit(0 if all(x["passed"] for x in observations) else 1)
| Boundary fixture | Actual | Expected | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ms event 0 | None | None | Passed |
| Ms event 1 | None | None | Passed |
| Ms event 2 | [7.26, 1] | [7.26, 1] | Passed |
| Ms event 3 | [6.32, 1] | [6.32, 1] | Passed |
| Ms event 4 | None | None | Passed |
| Ms event 5 | None | None | Passed |
| Ms event 6 | None | None | Passed |
| Ms event 9 | [7.68, 1] | None | Failed |
SHA-256 / 018eb833ae6e81df30153945bebc0de94b689b09ede95c0bcb679fb8eabaece4
2 / The unsuccessful fix
Exit 1"""Failure Map reference implementation. Python standard library only."""
import json
import math
N = 1
observations = []
def solve(readings, depth_km):
if depth_km >= 70:
return None
vals = []
for a, t, d in readings:
if 18 <= t <= 22 and 20 <= d <= 160 and a > 0:
vals.append(math.log10(a / t) + 1.66 * math.log10(d) + 3.3)
if not vals:
return None
return [round(sum(vals) / len(vals), 2), len(vals)]
def check(label, actual, expected):
observations.append({"check": label, "actual": actual, "expected": expected, "passed": actual == expected})
fixtures = [[['Ms event 0', [[[5.0, 20, 10], [300.0, 15, 45], [40.0, 15, 160]], 60], None], ['Ms event 1', [[[40.0, 18, 170], [0, 15, 45], [40.0, 15, 90], [5.0, 15, 160]], 33], None], ['Ms event 2', [[[0, 22, 160], [40.0, 20, 160], [300.0, 17, 170], [0, 22, 90]], 10], [7.26, 1]], ['Ms event 3', [[[5.0, 22, 160], [5.0, 23, 10], [0, 23, 20]], 33], [6.32, 1]], ['Ms event 4', [[[5.0, 22, 10], [40.0, 23, 45], [5.0, 15, 45], [40.0, 18, 170]], 33], None], ['Ms event 5', [[[40.0, 20, 45], [40.0, 20, 160]], 61], None], ['Ms event 6', [[[300.0, 15, 20], [5.0, 20, 160], [0.8, 18, 45], [40.0, 20, 45]], 61], None], ['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None]], [['Ms event 7', [[[0.8, 23, 160], [40.0, 18, 45], [40.0, 20, 170], [0, 18, 170], [40.0, 18, 160]], 59], [6.85, 2]], ['Ms event 8', [[[300.0, 17, 170], [0.8, 23, 170], [0.8, 15, 90], [0.8, 18, 160]], 33], [5.61, 1]], ['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None], ['Ms event 10', [[[300.0, 23, 160], [5.0, 15, 160]], 61], None], ['Ms event 11', [[[5.0, 18, 10], [40.0, 15, 20]], 60], None], ['Ms event 12', [[[300.0, 22, 45], [0.8, 22, 170], [0.8, 15, 170], [40.0, 23, 170], [5.0, 22, 10]], 60], None], ['Ms event 13', [[[40.0, 17, 170], [300.0, 18, 45], [5.0, 22, 160], [5.0, 18, 20], [0.8, 20, 20]], 59], [5.64, 4]], ['Ms event 30', [[[0.8, 17, 10], [40.0, 20, 90], [0.8, 17, 45]], 61], None]], [['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None], ['Ms event 14', [[[0, 20, 160], [40.0, 17, 10], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 20, 170]], 10], None], ['Ms event 15', [[[5.0, 20, 170], [0.8, 18, 90], [0, 15, 90], [300.0, 15, 20]], 33], [5.19, 1]], ['Ms event 16', [[[0.8, 23, 10], [0, 15, 90]], 59], None], ['Ms event 17', [[[5.0, 18, 10], [0.8, 22, 90], [0, 17, 160], [0.8, 17, 45], [0, 22, 20]], 61], None], ['Ms event 18', [[[40.0, 22, 170], [5.0, 22, 160], [5.0, 20, 90]], 33], [6.13, 2]], ['Ms event 19', [[[5.0, 20, 10], [40.0, 15, 45], [5.0, 18, 90], [0.8, 15, 90]], 70], None], ['Ms event 20', [[[0.8, 22, 20], [40.0, 15, 170]], 70], None]], [['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None], ['Ms event 21', [[[40.0, 17, 20], [5.0, 17, 90], [0.8, 20, 170], [300.0, 23, 170], [0, 15, 90]], 33], None], ['Ms event 22', [[[5.0, 18, 20], [5.0, 15, 160], [0.8, 17, 90], [0, 15, 160]], 33], [4.9, 1]], ['Ms event 23', [[[40.0, 18, 10], [40.0, 22, 20], [0.8, 18, 170], [5.0, 17, 10]], 59], [5.72, 1]], ['Ms event 24', [[[40.0, 20, 45], [0.8, 18, 20], [5.0, 17, 20], [300.0, 18, 170]], 70], None], ['Ms event 25', [[[0.8, 18, 20], [40.0, 20, 20], [0, 20, 160], [40.0, 15, 160], [40.0, 17, 170]], 60], None], ['Ms event 26', [[[0, 15, 170], [0.8, 17, 90], [300.0, 17, 90], [300.0, 22, 10]], 70], None], ['Ms event 34', [[[0, 15, 90], [0.8, 20, 45], [0.8, 23, 160], [5.0, 20, 160]], 61], None]], [['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None], ['Ms event 12', [[[300.0, 22, 45], [0.8, 22, 170], [0.8, 15, 170], [40.0, 23, 170], [5.0, 22, 10]], 60], None], ['Ms event 28', [[[300.0, 20, 45], [40.0, 22, 170]], 10], [7.22, 1]], ['Ms event 29', [[[40.0, 17, 160], [40.0, 22, 170], [0, 20, 45], [0, 20, 170]], 61], None], ['Ms event 30', [[[0.8, 17, 10], [40.0, 20, 90], [0.8, 17, 45]], 61], None], ['Ms event 31', [[[300.0, 20, 90], [0.8, 22, 45], [40.0, 22, 45], [40.0, 18, 170], [300.0, 22, 170]], 10], [6.21, 3]], ['Ms event 32', [[[40.0, 17, 90]], 10], None], ['Ms event 33', [[[5.0, 23, 10], [0.8, 23, 90], [5.0, 23, 160], [0, 22, 160]], 61], None]]]
for label, args, expected in fixtures[N - 1]:
check(label, solve(*args), expected)
print(json.dumps({"observations": observations, "passed": all(x["passed"] for x in observations)}, ensure_ascii=False))
raise SystemExit(0 if all(x["passed"] for x in observations) else 1)
| Boundary fixture | Actual | Expected | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ms event 0 | None | None | Passed |
| Ms event 1 | None | None | Passed |
| Ms event 2 | [7.26, 1] | [7.26, 1] | Passed |
| Ms event 3 | [6.32, 1] | [6.32, 1] | Passed |
| Ms event 4 | None | None | Passed |
| Ms event 5 | [6.8, 2] | None | Failed |
| Ms event 6 | [5.8, 3] | None | Failed |
| Ms event 9 | [7.68, 1] | None | Failed |
SHA-256 / 88e9ff97672001242d1df4ac3d0aef4ab89c89ab2c98ff0b4915047cbaa2e0b7
3 / The verified repair
Exit 0"""Failure Map reference implementation. Python standard library only."""
import json
import math
N = 1
observations = []
def solve(readings, depth_km):
if depth_km >= 60:
return None
vals = []
for a, t, d in readings:
if 18 <= t <= 22 and 20 <= d <= 160 and a > 0:
vals.append(math.log10(a / t) + 1.66 * math.log10(d) + 3.3)
if not vals:
return None
return [round(sum(vals) / len(vals), 2), len(vals)]
def check(label, actual, expected):
observations.append({"check": label, "actual": actual, "expected": expected, "passed": actual == expected})
fixtures = [[['Ms event 0', [[[5.0, 20, 10], [300.0, 15, 45], [40.0, 15, 160]], 60], None], ['Ms event 1', [[[40.0, 18, 170], [0, 15, 45], [40.0, 15, 90], [5.0, 15, 160]], 33], None], ['Ms event 2', [[[0, 22, 160], [40.0, 20, 160], [300.0, 17, 170], [0, 22, 90]], 10], [7.26, 1]], ['Ms event 3', [[[5.0, 22, 160], [5.0, 23, 10], [0, 23, 20]], 33], [6.32, 1]], ['Ms event 4', [[[5.0, 22, 10], [40.0, 23, 45], [5.0, 15, 45], [40.0, 18, 170]], 33], None], ['Ms event 5', [[[40.0, 20, 45], [40.0, 20, 160]], 61], None], ['Ms event 6', [[[300.0, 15, 20], [5.0, 20, 160], [0.8, 18, 45], [40.0, 20, 45]], 61], None], ['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None]], [['Ms event 7', [[[0.8, 23, 160], [40.0, 18, 45], [40.0, 20, 170], [0, 18, 170], [40.0, 18, 160]], 59], [6.85, 2]], ['Ms event 8', [[[300.0, 17, 170], [0.8, 23, 170], [0.8, 15, 90], [0.8, 18, 160]], 33], [5.61, 1]], ['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None], ['Ms event 10', [[[300.0, 23, 160], [5.0, 15, 160]], 61], None], ['Ms event 11', [[[5.0, 18, 10], [40.0, 15, 20]], 60], None], ['Ms event 12', [[[300.0, 22, 45], [0.8, 22, 170], [0.8, 15, 170], [40.0, 23, 170], [5.0, 22, 10]], 60], None], ['Ms event 13', [[[40.0, 17, 170], [300.0, 18, 45], [5.0, 22, 160], [5.0, 18, 20], [0.8, 20, 20]], 59], [5.64, 4]], ['Ms event 30', [[[0.8, 17, 10], [40.0, 20, 90], [0.8, 17, 45]], 61], None]], [['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None], ['Ms event 14', [[[0, 20, 160], [40.0, 17, 10], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 20, 170]], 10], None], ['Ms event 15', [[[5.0, 20, 170], [0.8, 18, 90], [0, 15, 90], [300.0, 15, 20]], 33], [5.19, 1]], ['Ms event 16', [[[0.8, 23, 10], [0, 15, 90]], 59], None], ['Ms event 17', [[[5.0, 18, 10], [0.8, 22, 90], [0, 17, 160], [0.8, 17, 45], [0, 22, 20]], 61], None], ['Ms event 18', [[[40.0, 22, 170], [5.0, 22, 160], [5.0, 20, 90]], 33], [6.13, 2]], ['Ms event 19', [[[5.0, 20, 10], [40.0, 15, 45], [5.0, 18, 90], [0.8, 15, 90]], 70], None], ['Ms event 20', [[[0.8, 22, 20], [40.0, 15, 170]], 70], None]], [['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None], ['Ms event 21', [[[40.0, 17, 20], [5.0, 17, 90], [0.8, 20, 170], [300.0, 23, 170], [0, 15, 90]], 33], None], ['Ms event 22', [[[5.0, 18, 20], [5.0, 15, 160], [0.8, 17, 90], [0, 15, 160]], 33], [4.9, 1]], ['Ms event 23', [[[40.0, 18, 10], [40.0, 22, 20], [0.8, 18, 170], [5.0, 17, 10]], 59], [5.72, 1]], ['Ms event 24', [[[40.0, 20, 45], [0.8, 18, 20], [5.0, 17, 20], [300.0, 18, 170]], 70], None], ['Ms event 25', [[[0.8, 18, 20], [40.0, 20, 20], [0, 20, 160], [40.0, 15, 160], [40.0, 17, 170]], 60], None], ['Ms event 26', [[[0, 15, 170], [0.8, 17, 90], [300.0, 17, 90], [300.0, 22, 10]], 70], None], ['Ms event 34', [[[0, 15, 90], [0.8, 20, 45], [0.8, 23, 160], [5.0, 20, 160]], 61], None]], [['Ms event 9', [[[40.0, 23, 45], [0.8, 22, 10], [300.0, 22, 90], [0.8, 23, 45]], 60], None], ['Ms event 12', [[[300.0, 22, 45], [0.8, 22, 170], [0.8, 15, 170], [40.0, 23, 170], [5.0, 22, 10]], 60], None], ['Ms event 28', [[[300.0, 20, 45], [40.0, 22, 170]], 10], [7.22, 1]], ['Ms event 29', [[[40.0, 17, 160], [40.0, 22, 170], [0, 20, 45], [0, 20, 170]], 61], None], ['Ms event 30', [[[0.8, 17, 10], [40.0, 20, 90], [0.8, 17, 45]], 61], None], ['Ms event 31', [[[300.0, 20, 90], [0.8, 22, 45], [40.0, 22, 45], [40.0, 18, 170], [300.0, 22, 170]], 10], [6.21, 3]], ['Ms event 32', [[[40.0, 17, 90]], 10], None], ['Ms event 33', [[[5.0, 23, 10], [0.8, 23, 90], [5.0, 23, 160], [0, 22, 160]], 61], None]]]
for label, args, expected in fixtures[N - 1]:
check(label, solve(*args), expected)
print(json.dumps({"observations": observations, "passed": all(x["passed"] for x in observations)}, ensure_ascii=False))
raise SystemExit(0 if all(x["passed"] for x in observations) else 1)
| Boundary fixture | Actual | Expected | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ms event 0 | None | None | Passed |
| Ms event 1 | None | None | Passed |
| Ms event 2 | [7.26, 1] | [7.26, 1] | Passed |
| Ms event 3 | [6.32, 1] | [6.32, 1] | Passed |
| Ms event 4 | None | None | Passed |
| Ms event 5 | None | None | Passed |
| Ms event 6 | None | None | Passed |
| Ms event 9 | None | None | Passed |
SHA-256 / 4f5df2ce5471851617159167c7c6c6316052b2be3b8c35811f0698c344bea82f
Verification & scope
Stipulated deterministic teaching model of a seismological magnitude procedure; constants and tables are fixed by the contract and no claim of agency or standards conformance is made. This reproducer isolates one failure mechanism. Results cover the supplied fixtures. Variants within a family share a test contract and should remain grouped when constructing evaluation splits. Related mechanisms with a shared evaluation_group must also remain together; these controlled models are not independent production incidents.
Observations recorded using Python 3.12.14 at 2026-09-29T14:48:29.835094+00:00.
Case digest / 378c05bb1e51c5b5f2dd950005e32829354bf68d4d9bfa5b22cf1898ea08ce14