FAILURE MAP
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FA-71191 / Weather index computation / Open access

Hargreaves reference evapotranspiration: mean temperature · case 01

ET0 tracks the diurnal range instead of the air temperature.

Verified by executionVariant 1 · 8 checks per implementationDownload source bundle ↓JSON ↗

ROOT CAUSE

The daily mean is computed from the difference of the extremes.

VERIFIED REPAIR

Tmean = (tmax + tmin)/2.

Unsuccessful approach: Using tmax alone overstates the mean temperature.

Case contract

Daily tmax/tmin degC (tmax >= tmin) and extraterrestrial radiation Ra in MJ/m2/day. Convert Ra to mm/day with 0.408. ET0 = 0.0023*Ra_mm*(Tmean+17.8)*sqrt(tmax-tmin), Tmean=(tmax+tmin)/2; negative results clamp to 0; round to 0.01 mm.

Why this case matters

Irrigation scheduling uses ET0 where full meteorological data are unavailable.

1 / The failure

Exit 1
"""Failure Map reference implementation. Python standard library only."""
import json
import math
N = 1
observations = []
def solve(tmax, tmin, ra_mj):
    tmean = (tmax - tmin) / 2
    et = 0.0023 * 0.408 * ra_mj * (tmean + 17.8) * math.sqrt(tmax - tmin)
    return round(max(et, 0.0), 2)
def check(label, actual, expected):
    observations.append({"check": label, "actual": actual, "expected": expected, "passed": actual == expected})
fixtures = [[['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 10.0', [30, 15, 10.0], 1.46], ['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 25.0', [30, 15, 25.0], 3.66], ['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 40.0', [30, 15, 40.0], 5.86], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 10.0', [35, 20, 10.0], 1.65], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 25.0', [35, 20, 25.0], 4.12], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 40.0', [35, 20, 40.0], 6.59], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.0', [10, -2, 10.0], 0.71], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 25.0', [10, -2, 25.0], 1.77]], [['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 10.0', [35, 20, 10.0], 1.65], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.0', [10, -2, 10.0], 0.71], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 25.0', [10, -2, 25.0], 1.77], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 40.0', [10, -2, 40.0], 2.83], ['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 10.0', [-10, -25, 10.0], 0.01], ['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 25.0', [-10, -25, 25.0], 0.03], ['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 40.0', [-10, -25, 40.0], 0.04], ['tmax -12 tmin -30 Ra 10.0', [-12, -30, 10.0], 0.0]], [['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.0', [10, -2, 10.0], 0.71], ['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 40.0', [-10, -25, 40.0], 0.04], ['tmax -12 tmin -30 Ra 40.0', [-12, -30, 40.0], 0.0], ['tmax 25 tmin 25 Ra 10.0', [25, 25, 10.0], 0.0], ['tmax 25 tmin 25 Ra 25.0', [25, 25, 25.0], 0.0], ['tmax 25 tmin 25 Ra 40.0', [25, 25, 40.0], 0.0], ['tmax 40 tmin 18 Ra 10.0', [40, 18, 10.0], 2.06], ['tmax 40 tmin 18 Ra 25.0', [40, 18, 25.0], 5.15]], [['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 10.0', [-10, -25, 10.0], 0.01], ['tmax 40 tmin 18 Ra 25.0', [40, 18, 25.0], 5.15], ['tmax 22 tmin 8 Ra 10.0', [22, 8, 10.0], 1.15], ['tmax 22 tmin 8 Ra 25.0', [22, 8, 25.0], 2.88], ['tmax 22 tmin 8 Ra 40.0', [22, 8, 40.0], 4.61], ['tmax -5 tmin -20 Ra 10.0', [-5, -20, 10.0], 0.19], ['tmax -5 tmin -20 Ra 25.0', [-5, -20, 25.0], 0.48], ['tmax -5 tmin -20 Ra 40.0', [-5, -20, 40.0], 0.77]], [['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 25.0', [30, 15, 25.0], 3.66], ['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 40.0', [30, 15, 40.0], 5.86], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 10.0', [35, 20, 10.0], 1.65], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 25.0', [35, 20, 25.0], 4.12], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 40.0', [35, 20, 40.0], 6.59], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.0', [10, -2, 10.0], 0.71], ['tmax -12 tmin -30 Ra 10.0', [-12, -30, 10.0], 0.0], ['tmax -5 tmin -20 Ra 10.0', [-5, -20, 10.0], 0.19]]]
for label, args, expected in fixtures[N - 1]:
    check(label, solve(*args), expected)
print(json.dumps({"observations": observations, "passed": all(x["passed"] for x in observations)}, ensure_ascii=False))
raise SystemExit(0 if all(x["passed"] for x in observations) else 1)
Boundary fixtureActualExpectedOutcome
tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 10.00.921.46Failed
tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 25.02.33.66Failed
tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 40.03.685.86Failed
tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 10.00.921.65Failed
tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 25.02.34.12Failed
tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 40.03.686.59Failed
tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.00.770.71Failed
tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 25.01.931.77Failed

SHA-256 / e4bab36c1d64e418edd2bb3f1868c5c4098414d6675685c6fcdb93ca1f55a13e

2 / The unsuccessful fix

Exit 1
"""Failure Map reference implementation. Python standard library only."""
import json
import math
N = 1
observations = []
def solve(tmax, tmin, ra_mj):
    tmean = tmax
    et = 0.0023 * 0.408 * ra_mj * (tmean + 17.8) * math.sqrt(tmax - tmin)
    return round(max(et, 0.0), 2)
def check(label, actual, expected):
    observations.append({"check": label, "actual": actual, "expected": expected, "passed": actual == expected})
fixtures = [[['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 10.0', [30, 15, 10.0], 1.46], ['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 25.0', [30, 15, 25.0], 3.66], ['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 40.0', [30, 15, 40.0], 5.86], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 10.0', [35, 20, 10.0], 1.65], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 25.0', [35, 20, 25.0], 4.12], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 40.0', [35, 20, 40.0], 6.59], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.0', [10, -2, 10.0], 0.71], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 25.0', [10, -2, 25.0], 1.77]], [['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 10.0', [35, 20, 10.0], 1.65], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.0', [10, -2, 10.0], 0.71], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 25.0', [10, -2, 25.0], 1.77], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 40.0', [10, -2, 40.0], 2.83], ['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 10.0', [-10, -25, 10.0], 0.01], ['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 25.0', [-10, -25, 25.0], 0.03], ['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 40.0', [-10, -25, 40.0], 0.04], ['tmax -12 tmin -30 Ra 10.0', [-12, -30, 10.0], 0.0]], [['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.0', [10, -2, 10.0], 0.71], ['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 40.0', [-10, -25, 40.0], 0.04], ['tmax -12 tmin -30 Ra 40.0', [-12, -30, 40.0], 0.0], ['tmax 25 tmin 25 Ra 10.0', [25, 25, 10.0], 0.0], ['tmax 25 tmin 25 Ra 25.0', [25, 25, 25.0], 0.0], ['tmax 25 tmin 25 Ra 40.0', [25, 25, 40.0], 0.0], ['tmax 40 tmin 18 Ra 10.0', [40, 18, 10.0], 2.06], ['tmax 40 tmin 18 Ra 25.0', [40, 18, 25.0], 5.15]], [['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 10.0', [-10, -25, 10.0], 0.01], ['tmax 40 tmin 18 Ra 25.0', [40, 18, 25.0], 5.15], ['tmax 22 tmin 8 Ra 10.0', [22, 8, 10.0], 1.15], ['tmax 22 tmin 8 Ra 25.0', [22, 8, 25.0], 2.88], ['tmax 22 tmin 8 Ra 40.0', [22, 8, 40.0], 4.61], ['tmax -5 tmin -20 Ra 10.0', [-5, -20, 10.0], 0.19], ['tmax -5 tmin -20 Ra 25.0', [-5, -20, 25.0], 0.48], ['tmax -5 tmin -20 Ra 40.0', [-5, -20, 40.0], 0.77]], [['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 25.0', [30, 15, 25.0], 3.66], ['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 40.0', [30, 15, 40.0], 5.86], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 10.0', [35, 20, 10.0], 1.65], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 25.0', [35, 20, 25.0], 4.12], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 40.0', [35, 20, 40.0], 6.59], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.0', [10, -2, 10.0], 0.71], ['tmax -12 tmin -30 Ra 10.0', [-12, -30, 10.0], 0.0], ['tmax -5 tmin -20 Ra 10.0', [-5, -20, 10.0], 0.19]]]
for label, args, expected in fixtures[N - 1]:
    check(label, solve(*args), expected)
print(json.dumps({"observations": observations, "passed": all(x["passed"] for x in observations)}, ensure_ascii=False))
raise SystemExit(0 if all(x["passed"] for x in observations) else 1)
Boundary fixtureActualExpectedOutcome
tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 10.01.741.46Failed
tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 25.04.343.66Failed
tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 40.06.955.86Failed
tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 10.01.921.65Failed
tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 25.04.84.12Failed
tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 40.07.686.59Failed
tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.00.90.71Failed
tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 25.02.261.77Failed

SHA-256 / 6dfe50731259ee049f54e44e35ce9accfaa4085a085097b21e2f88b21c1b660a

3 / The verified repair

Exit 0
"""Failure Map reference implementation. Python standard library only."""
import json
import math
N = 1
observations = []
def solve(tmax, tmin, ra_mj):
    tmean = (tmax + tmin) / 2
    et = 0.0023 * 0.408 * ra_mj * (tmean + 17.8) * math.sqrt(tmax - tmin)
    return round(max(et, 0.0), 2)
def check(label, actual, expected):
    observations.append({"check": label, "actual": actual, "expected": expected, "passed": actual == expected})
fixtures = [[['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 10.0', [30, 15, 10.0], 1.46], ['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 25.0', [30, 15, 25.0], 3.66], ['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 40.0', [30, 15, 40.0], 5.86], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 10.0', [35, 20, 10.0], 1.65], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 25.0', [35, 20, 25.0], 4.12], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 40.0', [35, 20, 40.0], 6.59], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.0', [10, -2, 10.0], 0.71], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 25.0', [10, -2, 25.0], 1.77]], [['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 10.0', [35, 20, 10.0], 1.65], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.0', [10, -2, 10.0], 0.71], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 25.0', [10, -2, 25.0], 1.77], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 40.0', [10, -2, 40.0], 2.83], ['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 10.0', [-10, -25, 10.0], 0.01], ['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 25.0', [-10, -25, 25.0], 0.03], ['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 40.0', [-10, -25, 40.0], 0.04], ['tmax -12 tmin -30 Ra 10.0', [-12, -30, 10.0], 0.0]], [['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.0', [10, -2, 10.0], 0.71], ['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 40.0', [-10, -25, 40.0], 0.04], ['tmax -12 tmin -30 Ra 40.0', [-12, -30, 40.0], 0.0], ['tmax 25 tmin 25 Ra 10.0', [25, 25, 10.0], 0.0], ['tmax 25 tmin 25 Ra 25.0', [25, 25, 25.0], 0.0], ['tmax 25 tmin 25 Ra 40.0', [25, 25, 40.0], 0.0], ['tmax 40 tmin 18 Ra 10.0', [40, 18, 10.0], 2.06], ['tmax 40 tmin 18 Ra 25.0', [40, 18, 25.0], 5.15]], [['tmax -10 tmin -25 Ra 10.0', [-10, -25, 10.0], 0.01], ['tmax 40 tmin 18 Ra 25.0', [40, 18, 25.0], 5.15], ['tmax 22 tmin 8 Ra 10.0', [22, 8, 10.0], 1.15], ['tmax 22 tmin 8 Ra 25.0', [22, 8, 25.0], 2.88], ['tmax 22 tmin 8 Ra 40.0', [22, 8, 40.0], 4.61], ['tmax -5 tmin -20 Ra 10.0', [-5, -20, 10.0], 0.19], ['tmax -5 tmin -20 Ra 25.0', [-5, -20, 25.0], 0.48], ['tmax -5 tmin -20 Ra 40.0', [-5, -20, 40.0], 0.77]], [['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 25.0', [30, 15, 25.0], 3.66], ['tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 40.0', [30, 15, 40.0], 5.86], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 10.0', [35, 20, 10.0], 1.65], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 25.0', [35, 20, 25.0], 4.12], ['tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 40.0', [35, 20, 40.0], 6.59], ['tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.0', [10, -2, 10.0], 0.71], ['tmax -12 tmin -30 Ra 10.0', [-12, -30, 10.0], 0.0], ['tmax -5 tmin -20 Ra 10.0', [-5, -20, 10.0], 0.19]]]
for label, args, expected in fixtures[N - 1]:
    check(label, solve(*args), expected)
print(json.dumps({"observations": observations, "passed": all(x["passed"] for x in observations)}, ensure_ascii=False))
raise SystemExit(0 if all(x["passed"] for x in observations) else 1)
Boundary fixtureActualExpectedOutcome
tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 10.01.461.46Passed
tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 25.03.663.66Passed
tmax 30 tmin 15 Ra 40.05.865.86Passed
tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 10.01.651.65Passed
tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 25.04.124.12Passed
tmax 35 tmin 20 Ra 40.06.596.59Passed
tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 10.00.710.71Passed
tmax 10 tmin -2 Ra 25.01.771.77Passed

SHA-256 / 70c6d5b84a2df7811c3aed5ddb7ceb35cbcac277454fccb236d0775cc1049b1d

Verification & scope

Stipulated deterministic teaching model of an operational weather index; coefficients and thresholds are fixed by the contract and no claim of standards conformance is made. This reproducer isolates one failure mechanism. Results cover the supplied fixtures. Variants within a family share a test contract and should remain grouped when constructing evaluation splits. Related mechanisms with a shared evaluation_group must also remain together; these controlled models are not independent production incidents.

Observations recorded using Python 3.12.14 at 2026-09-29T14:48:27.457044+00:00.

Case digest / 84461e66e5a3f93d1bb516416ea8d6ca5989cce637cbbc7ab3544534d015d47f