FA-65719 / Ecological population dynamics / Member archive
Two-pass removal abundance estimate: estimator numerator · case 04
Abundance is underestimated and becomes zero when the second pass is empty.
Case contract
N = c1^2/(c1-c2), p = (c1-c2)/c1, var = c1^2*c2^2*(c1+c2)/(c1-c2)^4 rounded [2, 4, 2]; [None, None, None] when c1<=c2; None for negative catches.
Why this case matters
Population projections set harvest quotas, conservation status and pest-control timing; a wrong update order, boundary or rate conversion silently changes management advice.
One recorded failure
Sample boundary fixtureThis sample comes from the broken implementation of a controlled reproducer.
| Boundary fixture | Actual | Expected | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| regression: stream electrofishing | [42.86, 0.5833, 127.45] | [102.86, 0.5833, 127.45] | Failed |
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