FA-65375 / Ecological population dynamics / Member archive
Ricker map trajectory and dynamic regime: exponent grouping · case 05
Populations above carrying capacity turn negative instead of being pulled down smoothly.
Case contract
Regime by r: r<0 decline, r==0 neutral, 0<r<=1 monotone, 1<r<2 damped, 2<=r<2.526 cycle2, else complex; trajectory N[t+1]=N*exp(r*(1-N/K)) rounded 4; None for K<=0 or N0<0.
Why this case matters
Population projections set harvest quotas, conservation status and pest-control timing; a wrong update order, boundary or rate conversion silently changes management advice.
One recorded failure
Sample boundary fixtureThis sample comes from the broken implementation of a controlled reproducer.
| Boundary fixture | Actual | Expected | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| regression: salmon stock damped | ["damped", [717.0703, 909.2473, 369.8138, 1044.4646, -208.1372, -1126.9578]] | ["damped", [664.0234, 1099.1389, 947.2604, 1025.2415, 987.1493, 1006.3622]] | Failed |
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