FA-64972 / Epidemic compartment models / Member archive
SIRS waning-immunity simulation: cumulative incidence · case 02
Cumulative incidence stops growing, and even falls, once reinfections occur.
Case contract
Daily forward-Euler SIRS; waning flow is R/immunity_days back to S (immunity_days 0 means permanent immunity); cumulative incidence sums every S->I flow including reinfections; return [S, I, R, cumulative incidence] rounded to 3.
Why this case matters
Compartmental epidemic calculations drive outbreak forecasts, vaccine targets and hospital planning; a single wrong flow, rate conversion or boundary silently changes every downstream number.
One recorded failure
Sample boundary fixtureThis sample comes from the broken implementation of a controlled reproducer.
| Boundary fixture | Actual | Expected | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| regression: seasonal coronavirus | [543.377, 58.225, 398.398, 456.623] | [543.377, 58.225, 398.398, 1339.789] | Failed |
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