FA-64883 / Epidemic compartment models / Member archive
SEIR daily symptom-onset incidence: exposed flow balance · case 03
Total population grows every day and onsets keep rising after the epidemic ends.
Case contract
Daily forward-Euler SEIR with sigma=1/latent_days and gamma=1/infectious_days; only I transmits (beta*S*I/pop); seeds start in E and are part of pop; return [daily E->I onsets rounded to 4, total population rounded to 4], or None for non-positive durations or population.
Why this case matters
Compartmental epidemic calculations drive outbreak forecasts, vaccine targets and hospital planning; a single wrong flow, rate conversion or boundary silently changes every downstream number.
One recorded failure
Sample boundary fixtureThis sample comes from the broken implementation of a controlled reproducer.
| Boundary fixture | Actual | Expected | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| regression: influenza-like 2 day latency | [[5.0, 5.0, 6.485, 8.9526, 12.5001, 17.4666, 24.3629, 33.8794], 1113.6466] | [[5.0, 2.5, 2.735, 3.0948, 3.5019, 3.9584, 4.4687, 5.0378], 1000.0] | Failed |
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