FAILURE MAP
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FA-14196 / Numerical aggregation / Open access

Group balanced squared loss: Residuals cancel within each group before squaring. · case 01

The reduction disagrees with its explicit aggregation oracle.

Verified by executionVariant 1 · 9 checks per implementationDownload source bundle ↓JSON ↗

ROOT CAUSE

Residuals cancel within each group before squaring.

VERIFIED REPAIR

Preserve the group balanced squared loss contract at the identified reduction decision.

Unsuccessful approach: Absolute group mean still permits opposite residuals to cancel.

Case contract

Rows [group label, integer residual or None] are reduced into mean squared residual per group, then arithmetic mean across observed groups. Missing residuals contribute neither count nor group presence; group labels are case-sensitive. Empty observed population returns None. Exact Fraction string.

Why this case matters

Exact bounded examples isolate a reduction defect without floating-point or external-service effects.

1 / The failure

Exit 1
"""Failure Map reference implementation. Python standard library only."""
import json
from fractions import Fraction
from collections import Counter, defaultdict
import math
import itertools
N = 1
observations = []
def solve(rows):
    groups={}
    for label,error in rows:
        if error is None: continue
        groups.setdefault(label,[]).append(error)
    if not groups: return None
    means=[Fraction(sum(values),len(values))**2 for values in groups.values()]
    return str(sum(means)/len(means))
def check(label, actual, expected):
    observations.append({"check": label, "actual": actual, "expected": expected, "passed": actual == expected})
check('regression 1', solve(*([('a', 1), ('a', 2), ('b', 4)],)), '37/4')
check('regression 2', solve(*([('a', 1), ('a', 3), ('b', 4)],)), '21/2')
check('regression 3', solve(*([],)), None)
check('regression 4', solve(*([('a', None), ('b', None)],)), None)
check('regression 5', solve(*([('a', 0), ('a', 2), ('b', -3), ('b', 1)],)), '7/2')
check('regression 6', solve(*([('a', 1), ('b', 2), ('b', 2), ('b', 2)],)), '5/2')
check('regression 7', solve(*([('a', None), ('a', 2), ('b', 4)],)), '10')
check('regression 8', solve(*([('A', 1), ('a', 4), ('B', 2)],)), '7')
check("variable group balance",solve([("a",N),("a",-N),("b",2*N)]),str(Fraction(5*N*N,2)))
print(json.dumps({"observations": observations, "passed": all(x["passed"] for x in observations)}, ensure_ascii=False))
raise SystemExit(0 if all(x["passed"] for x in observations) else 1)
Boundary fixtureActualExpectedOutcome
regression 173/837/4Failed
regression 21021/2Failed
regression 3NoneNonePassed
regression 4NoneNonePassed
regression 517/2Failed
regression 65/25/2Passed
regression 71010Passed
regression 877Passed
variable group balance25/2Failed

SHA-256 / 2b250ffef66c927f22ee6113827f5e626954aa39c5625cb5de54e517b1745f38

2 / The unsuccessful fix

Exit 1
"""Failure Map reference implementation. Python standard library only."""
import json
from fractions import Fraction
from collections import Counter, defaultdict
import math
import itertools
N = 1
observations = []
def solve(rows):
    groups={}
    for label,error in rows:
        if error is None: continue
        groups.setdefault(label,[]).append(error)
    if not groups: return None
    means=[abs(Fraction(sum(values),len(values))) for values in groups.values()]
    return str(sum(means)/len(means))
def check(label, actual, expected):
    observations.append({"check": label, "actual": actual, "expected": expected, "passed": actual == expected})
check('regression 1', solve(*([('a', 1), ('a', 2), ('b', 4)],)), '37/4')
check('regression 2', solve(*([('a', 1), ('a', 3), ('b', 4)],)), '21/2')
check('regression 3', solve(*([],)), None)
check('regression 4', solve(*([('a', None), ('b', None)],)), None)
check('regression 5', solve(*([('a', 0), ('a', 2), ('b', -3), ('b', 1)],)), '7/2')
check('regression 6', solve(*([('a', 1), ('b', 2), ('b', 2), ('b', 2)],)), '5/2')
check('regression 7', solve(*([('a', None), ('a', 2), ('b', 4)],)), '10')
check('regression 8', solve(*([('A', 1), ('a', 4), ('B', 2)],)), '7')
check("variable group balance",solve([("a",N),("a",-N),("b",2*N)]),str(Fraction(5*N*N,2)))
print(json.dumps({"observations": observations, "passed": all(x["passed"] for x in observations)}, ensure_ascii=False))
raise SystemExit(0 if all(x["passed"] for x in observations) else 1)
Boundary fixtureActualExpectedOutcome
regression 111/437/4Failed
regression 2321/2Failed
regression 3NoneNonePassed
regression 4NoneNonePassed
regression 517/2Failed
regression 63/25/2Failed
regression 7310Failed
regression 87/37Failed
variable group balance15/2Failed

SHA-256 / 0fc3db2ace792955573e9664757f6afc659d02253da79184e55ca9b0e7b4d3d6

3 / The verified repair

Exit 0
"""Failure Map reference implementation. Python standard library only."""
import json
from fractions import Fraction
from collections import Counter, defaultdict
import math
import itertools
N = 1
observations = []
def solve(rows):
    groups={}
    for label,error in rows:
        if error is None: continue
        groups.setdefault(label,[]).append(error)
    if not groups: return None
    means=[Fraction(sum(e*e for e in values),len(values)) for values in groups.values()]
    return str(sum(means)/len(means))
def check(label, actual, expected):
    observations.append({"check": label, "actual": actual, "expected": expected, "passed": actual == expected})
check('regression 1', solve(*([('a', 1), ('a', 2), ('b', 4)],)), '37/4')
check('regression 2', solve(*([('a', 1), ('a', 3), ('b', 4)],)), '21/2')
check('regression 3', solve(*([],)), None)
check('regression 4', solve(*([('a', None), ('b', None)],)), None)
check('regression 5', solve(*([('a', 0), ('a', 2), ('b', -3), ('b', 1)],)), '7/2')
check('regression 6', solve(*([('a', 1), ('b', 2), ('b', 2), ('b', 2)],)), '5/2')
check('regression 7', solve(*([('a', None), ('a', 2), ('b', 4)],)), '10')
check('regression 8', solve(*([('A', 1), ('a', 4), ('B', 2)],)), '7')
check("variable group balance",solve([("a",N),("a",-N),("b",2*N)]),str(Fraction(5*N*N,2)))
print(json.dumps({"observations": observations, "passed": all(x["passed"] for x in observations)}, ensure_ascii=False))
raise SystemExit(0 if all(x["passed"] for x in observations) else 1)
Boundary fixtureActualExpectedOutcome
regression 137/437/4Passed
regression 221/221/2Passed
regression 3NoneNonePassed
regression 4NoneNonePassed
regression 57/27/2Passed
regression 65/25/2Passed
regression 71010Passed
regression 877Passed
variable group balance5/25/2Passed

SHA-256 / 37d21a2cc900138bb57366e9a3e5fcf9a8544a6c56d61385583ab74a4b2e6dd8

Verification & scope

Small offline integer/rational inputs only; no performance, statistical inference, or production-library conformance claim. This reproducer isolates one failure mechanism. Results cover the supplied fixtures. Variants within a family share a test contract and should remain grouped when constructing evaluation splits. Related mechanisms with a shared evaluation_group must also remain together; these controlled models are not independent production incidents.

Observations recorded using Python 3.12.14 at 2026-09-29T14:39:14.441618+00:00.

Case digest / fb17f2f6d3a22e628402478e559d7bd3bec8932088f5d76fa16e3e1bebc76fc5